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How likely are different occupations to be fully automated within the next 10, 20 and 50 years?

How likely are different occupations to be fully automated within the next 10, 20 and 50 years? | HolonIQ
Truck Drivers and Retail Salespersons at Risk of Being Fully Automated within the Next 50 Years

How likely are different occupations to be fully automated within the next 10, 20 and 50 years?

Source

2022 Expert Survey on Progress in AI

Date

23 Nov 2023

Notes

As AI continues to thrive globally, there's a growing trend toward job automation, posing a risk of many jobs becoming redundant. Expert findings and projections suggest truck drivers face the highest likelihood, with an estimated 90% automation within the next 50 years, followed by retail salespersons at 80%. Notably, projections suggest that half of surgeries and surgeon roles may be automated in the next five decades, evoking mixed sentiments among patients.

License

CC BY 4.0 DEED